Brazil vs Norway

Brazil edge this one for me in 90 minutes, with their clearer all-round edge in form and the model’s goals expectations leaning them ahead even though the draw is absolutely in play.

2-1, though 1-1 remains a nearby possibility given how plausible the tighter scorelines are.

Keep an eye on whether Norway can turn their scoring chance into the first goal—because that’s the biggest lever that can flip this from a Brazil win into a draw or worse.