England vs Argentina

Argentina edges it for me, with the xG/defensive-quality signals giving them a slight edge up front and England’s recent outcomes looking balanced enough that a draw never feels far away.

1-1 is very much in play, with 1-2 and 2-1 also realistic if either side’s attackers get enough clear moments.

Watch for whether England can turn chances into goals early, because small swings in a match like this decide whether it tips to Argentina or settles into a draw.