# Leeds vs Brighton
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Leeds vs Brighton

FT
Leeds
1 - 0 FT
Brighton
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Brighton look like the better side to leave with points, because their edge in expected goals is meaningful (1.954 vs 1.315) even after considering Leeds’ decent home defensive record.
Premier League · Regular Season - 37 Leeds · Elland Road
Lineups & injuries Odds movement Get the app
Starting XI
3-5-2 Manager · Daniel Farke
Starting 11
  • 26 Karl Darlow G
  • 6 Joe Rodon D
  • 15 Jaka Bijol D
  • 23 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
  • 7 Daniel James M
  • 18 Anton Stach M
  • 4 Ethan Ampadu M
  • 22 Ao Tanaka M
  • 24 James Justin M
  • 9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F
  • 11 Brenden Aaronson F
Substitutes
  • 1 Lucas Perri G
  • 25 Sam Byram D
  • 65 Jayden Lienou D
  • 51 Alfie Cresswell M
  • 8 Sean Longstaff M
  • 47 Rhys Chadwick-Chaplin M
  • 29 Wilfried Gnonto F
  • 14 Lukas Nmecha F
  • 10 Joël Piroe F
4-2-3-1 Manager · Fabian Hurzeler
Starting 11
  • 1 Bart Verbruggen G
  • 34 Joël Veltman D
  • 6 Jan Paul van Hecke D
  • 5 Lewis Dunk D
  • 24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D
  • 17 Carlos Baleba M
  • 30 Pascal Groß M
  • 11 Yankuba Minteh M
  • 13 Jack Hinshelwood M
  • 29 Maxim De Cuyper M
  • 18 Danny Welbeck F
Substitutes
  • 23 Jason Steele G
  • 21 Olivier Boscagli D
  • 7 Solly March M
  • 10 Georginio Rutter F
  • 20 James Milner M
  • 25 Diego Gómez M
  • 26 Yasin Ayari M
  • 33 Matt O'Riley M
  • 19 Charalampos Kostoulas F
Match Prediction
Win Prediction Away win
Home win 24%
Draw 27%
Away win 48%
Brighton look like the better side to leave with points, because their edge in expected goals is meaningful (1.954 vs 1.315) even after considering Leeds’ decent home defensive record.
Goals Forecast Most likely score
3+ total goals 59%
Both teams score 61%
1-2, with adjacent low-score outcomes like 1-1 still very much in play if the finishing doesn’t quite match the chances.
Handicap Brighton -0.25
Cover probability 52%
Insurance line 63%
Watch how the late team-news shuffle affects Brighton’s ability to convert their attacking advantage—because the draw is still very live.
Odds Movement
21 snapshots · 112.0h span · overall drift: strong
1 ●.●●X ●.●●2 ●.●●Drift ●●→●●
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