France have the clearer edge in regular time, with their attacking output sitting well above Paraguay’s and the overall xG gap pointing toward a France win rather than a tight coin-flip.
World Cup · Round of 16Philadelphia · Lincoln Financial Field
France have the clearer edge in regular time, with their attacking output sitting well above Paraguay’s and the overall xG gap pointing toward a France win rather than a tight coin-flip.
Goals ForecastMost likely score
3+ total goals65%
Both teams score54%
0-2
HandicapFrance -0.5
Cover probability71%
Insurance line71%
The big variable is how Paraguay manage the first half—if they avoid conceding early, the draw route becomes much more live.
Odds Movement
Not enough odds snapshots yet to compute drift analysis.
