South Africa vs South Korea

South Korea look the more likely winners in 90 minutes, with their edge coming from a stronger overall profile in both putting pressure forward (higher expected goals) and keeping South Africa quiet (better defensive sample).

0-2 for South Korea, though 0-1 or 1-1 remain plausible in a tighter World Cup group-stage type of game.

Keep an eye on how South Africa set up in the opening phase, because the away margin can shrink quickly if they manage to blunt Korea’s momentum early.