Win Prediction
Spain
Spain just about edges it for a tight, chance-driven World Cup clash, with the xG figures almost level and Spain’s recent “take points” record giving them the faintest edge.
Goals Forecast
Most likely score
2-1, though 1-1 feels like the main adjacent low-scoring alternative if it stays on a knife-edge.
Handicap
Spain Level
Watch whether the first goal tilts the tempo—if it comes early, the match stops looking draw-friendly and the score can climb quickly.
