The World Cup Round of 32 match between South Africa and Canada will kick off at 19:00 on June 28 at SoFi Stadium. According to Nutmegly's AI projections, Canada is favored to advance, with a 55.5% probability of an away win, 26.7% for a draw, and 17.9% for a South Africa home win.
Neither team has shown dominant form in their last five matches, but Canada has been more consistent. South Africa has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five, drawing against the Czech Republic, Jamaica, and Nicaragua. Canada has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five, including a 6-0 victory over Qatar and a defeat against Switzerland.
Key AI metrics also favor Canada: they have averaged 1.62 points per game over their last eight matches, compared to South Africa's 0.88. However, in the World Cup sample, both teams have averaged 1.33 points per game, suggesting there is still room for a closely contested battle.
It is worth noting that South Africa averages 0.80 goals per game at home, while Canada averages 0.75 goals conceded per game away. Considering the teams' respective rest periods of 3 and 4 days since their last matches, the tempo and efficiency of this game will be the deciding factors.
