In the third round of the World Cup group stage, the match between Panama and England will directly impact the group's trajectory. Nutmegly's AI readings heavily favor England, with an 80.0% probability of an away win, while the probabilities for a home win and a draw are only 7.0% and 13.0%, respectively.
Recent form also supports this assessment. Panama has only won one of their last five matches, having lost to Croatia, Ghana, and Brazil, and failing to secure points in their last two games. England has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches, including a 4-2 victory over Croatia and a 3-0 win against Costa Rica.
Data also shows that Panama has averaged 1.00 point per game over their last eight matches, while England has averaged 2.12. In the World Cup sample, Panama has averaged 0.00 points per game, compared to 2.00 for England. Panama averages 1.60 goals per game at home, but England concedes an average of 0.00 goals per game away.
The match will be held at MetLife Stadium. The AI reading also indicates a 60.5% probability of over 2.5 total goals. Whether England can maintain their superior offensive and defensive efficiency will be the most notable aspect to watch in this match.
