The World Cup quarter-final match between Norway and England will kick off on 2026-07-11 at 21:00 at Hard Rock Stadium. Both teams are in decent form, but England has a stronger overall standing in the model, and the match distribution also shows the highest probability for an away win.
Norway has recorded 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, defeating Brazil, Ivory Coast, Senegal, and Iraq, with their only defeat being a 1-4 loss to France. England remains unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 4 wins and 1 draw, defeating Mexico, DR Congo, Panama, and Croatia, and drawing 0-0 with Ghana.
Nutmegly's AI reading slightly favors England, with a 49.9% probability of an away win, 26.8% for a draw, and 23.3% for a Norway home win. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 57.1%, indicating a clear potential for goals in this knockout match.
It is worth noting the offensive and defensive matchups and the pace of the game: Norway averages 2.20 goals per home game, while England averages only 0.40 goals conceded per away game. The teams' most recent matches were 6 and 5 days ago, respectively; on-field efficiency and the ability to capitalize on opportunities will determine the outcome of the match.
