Group G features a structure of "one top seed leading three chasers"; while not a traditional Group of Death, it is far from easy. Belgium is ranked 8th in the FIFA rankings, significantly higher than Iran (21st), Egypt (35th), and New Zealand (83rd), showing a clear hierarchy on paper.
Belgium has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, showing strong firepower in victories over Croatia and the United States. Iran has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5, having previously defeated Mali, Gambia, and Costa Rica consecutively, proving they have the ability to play spoiler. Egypt has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5, including a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia and two 0-0 draws, showing a steady trend. New Zealand has 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5, including a 0-4 defeat to Haiti, making them the most vulnerable side overall.
Key matches to watch include Belgium vs. Egypt on June 15, Egypt vs. Iran on June 27, and New Zealand vs. Belgium on the same day. Iran is the team most likely to cause an upset, while Egypt is closer to being the most fragile chaser; if New Zealand wants to create suspense, they must first stabilize their defense.