Group G presents a structure of one top seed and three chasers. Belgium leads the group at 8th in the FIFA rankings and possesses the greatest overall strength. Iran (21st), Egypt (35th), and New Zealand (83rd) follow, showing a clear hierarchy on paper, though the matchups in the first two rounds will be enough to shift the group's trajectory.
Belgium has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches, boasting the most prominent attacking firepower and solid form. Iran has also maintained competitiveness with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five. Egypt has shown more volatility with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while New Zealand is the most vulnerable side, having recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five.
An upset is more likely to come from Iran, whose ranking and stability are sufficient to apply pressure, while Egypt is the team most likely to fall behind in goal difference. The opening round features Belgium vs. Egypt on June 15 and Iran vs. New Zealand on June 16, both of which could set the tempo for the group.
The key variables determining Group G will be whether Belgium can translate their ranking advantage into consistent points, and which team—Iran or Egypt—can seize the initiative in their direct encounter.