In the World Cup semifinals, France faces Spain. Both teams enter this match on winning streaks; France has won its last five matches, keeping clean sheets against Morocco, Paraguay, and Sweden, while Spain has also won five in a row, keeping clean sheets in four of those games.
In terms of recent output, France has averaged 2.62 points per game over its last eight matches, compared to 2.50 for Spain. Within the World Cup sample, both teams have averaged 3.00 points per game. Regarding rest periods, both sides had a four-day interval since their last match.
Nutmegly's AI analysis shows a tendency toward a draw, but the probability of the result leans more toward France: 41.1% for a home win, 29.9% for a draw, and 29.0% for an away win. Meanwhile, the probability of over 2.5 goals is 58%.
The key to the match lies in whether France, averaging 2.80 goals per home game, can continue to pressure a Spanish defense that has conceded only 0.20 goals per away game.
