In the first leg of the Champions League play-offs, AEK Athens FC will host Levski Sofia at the Allwyn Arena, with the core of the clash being a renewed meeting of their current forms. Their most recent encounter ended in a 0-0 draw, and AEK Athens FC have also drawn 0-0 in their last two games, showing a steady trend; Levski Sofia have taken 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, extending a stronger scoring efficiency.
From the model signals, Nutmegly's AI leans more towards the home team, giving AEK Athens FC a 59.7% chance of a home win, a 23.9% draw, and a 16.4% away win. Meanwhile, the gap since both teams' last appearance is 8 days, making their physical conditions similar. In terms of goals, the probability of over 2.5 goals is 47.1%, indicating the match may not open up very quickly.
Worth noting is the home-away matchup: AEK Athens FC average 1.20 goals per home game, while Levski Sofia average 1.00 goals conceded per away game. Levski Sofia's points per game in the same competition sample is 2.20, higher than AEK Athens FC's 1.00, which leaves some variables open for the trend of the first leg.
