The first round of the Serie A regular season is about to kick off, with Atalanta facing Sassuolo at the New Balance Arena. Looking at recent form, Atalanta have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, having drawn 1-1 against Fiorentina in their previous outing. Sassuolo have taken 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5, currently suffering from a losing streak after defeats to Torino, Lecce, and Parma.
In terms of match sample efficiency, Atalanta average 1.00 points per game in Serie A samples, which is better than Sassuolo's 0.80. On the defensive end, Sassuolo concede an average of 1.20 goals per away match, while Atalanta score an average of 0.40 goals per home match. Additionally, the two teams have had 93 and 91 days respectively since their last matches.
According to the prediction simulation by the Nutmegly AI model, this match leans toward the home side Atalanta. The specific outcome probabilities are: Atalanta win 64.7%, draw 27.5%, Sassuolo win 7.8%, and the probability of over 2.5 total goals in the match is 33.5%.
