In the World Cup quarter-finals, Spain will face Belgium at SoFi Stadium. Both teams have been in decent form recently, but Spain's overall points efficiency and performance in the tournament sample are stronger, and AI readings also clearly favor the home side.
Spain has recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, defeating Portugal 1-0, Austria 3-0, Uruguay 1-0, and Saudi Arabia 4-0, while drawing 0-0 with Cape Verde. Belgium's last 5 matches include 3 wins and 2 draws: a 4-1 win over the United States, 3-2 over Senegal, 5-1 over New Zealand, along with a 0-0 draw against Iran and a 1-1 draw against Egypt.
Nutmegly's AI prediction favors Spain, with probabilities for a home win, draw, and away win at 57.6%, 24.6%, and 17.8% respectively, and gives a 58.5% probability for over 2.5 goals. Key signals include Spain averaging 2.25 points per game over their last 8 matches, higher than Belgium's 2.00; in the World Cup sample, Spain averages 2.60 points per game, also superior to Belgium's 1.80.
The match will depend on whether Spain's average of 1.60 goals scored at home can continue to suppress Belgium's average of 1.00 goals conceded away. The rest periods between the two teams' last matches are 4 days and 3 days respectively, and physical rhythm may also influence the outcome of the quarter-final.
