Brazil vs Japan

Brazil look the more likely winners in 90 minutes thanks to their attacking edge in the numbers (about 2.29 expected goals vs Japan’s 1.63), even though the draw is very much in play in a World Cup setting.

1-0 feels like the leading direction, with 1-1 and 2-0 close enough that low-margin swings still matter.

Watch how Japan handle Brazil’s early pressure—if it becomes a game of cautious transitions, the draw risk rises quickly.