Spain vs Austria

Spain look the more likely team to edge it in 90 minutes, with their attack expected to outweigh Austria’s—though the small xG gap leaves plenty of room for a draw to crop up in a World Cup knockout context.

Spain 2-0, with lower-scoring alternatives like 1-0 or 3-0 also plausible if the finishing swings.

Keep an eye on whether Spain can turn territory into clear finishing chances—if it stays a one-goal game for long, Austria’s ability to stay in it becomes the deciding factor.